Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.327310 0.381974 0.443172 0.516812 0.603094 0.701081 0.820945
2024-12-29 0.244367 0.316667 0.406655 0.527132 0.684621 0.884074 1.156792
2025-01-05 0.193703 0.269513 0.370920 0.516973 0.722819 1.003906 1.419177
2025-01-12 0.161273 0.237688 0.346058 0.511710 0.759992 1.120626 1.688513
2025-01-19 0.139661 0.216318 0.330663 0.514704 0.805707 1.251792 1.994591
2025-01-26 0.128257 0.207752 0.331858 0.541163 0.888583 1.447914 2.428034
2025-02-02 0.118373 0.199710 0.332071 0.565030 0.969288 1.650073 2.900373
2025-02-09 0.108589 0.190183 0.328126 0.580650 1.037232 1.838833 3.376640
2025-02-16 0.098674 0.178901 0.319415 0.586213 1.087393 2.002136 3.830026
2025-02-23 0.088936 0.166530 0.306985 0.582937 1.120203 2.137201 4.248898
2025-03-02 0.078791 0.152029 0.288735 0.566025 1.124278 2.217716 4.571444
2025-03-09 0.074213 0.147490 0.288471 0.583579 1.197707 2.441975 5.217961
2025-03-16 0.068116 0.139359 0.280566 0.585461 1.241034 2.614441 5.789129
2025-03-23 0.063613 0.133901 0.277344 0.596657 1.305680 2.840876 6.516140
2025-03-30 0.057504 0.124292 0.264348 0.585129 1.319169 2.958399 7.013988
2025-04-06 0.052601 0.116642 0.254521 0.579151 1.344017 3.104166 7.600777
2025-04-13 0.048983 0.111370 0.249185 0.582552 1.390816 3.306497 8.357239
2025-04-20 0.047660 0.111121 0.254988 0.612607 1.505119 3.684536 9.617312
2025-04-27 0.046170 0.110292 0.259336 0.639722 1.616029 4.070066 10.961290
2025-05-04 0.044158 0.107963 0.259865 0.657471 1.705809 4.415283 12.255141
2025-05-11 0.041622 0.104042 0.256082 0.663792 1.766829 4.694792 13.414178
2025-05-18 0.038754 0.098947 0.248803 0.660069 1.800571 4.906584 14.415847
2025-05-25 0.035359 0.092100 0.236311 0.640853 1.789283 4.993856 15.066363